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研报/海通国际/阳光电源-首次覆盖:逆变器筑基+储能领航双驱动、储能高增长跃升为新增长引擎、锚定全球能源龙头

海通国际

阳光电源-首次覆盖:逆变器筑基+储能领航双驱动、储能高增长跃升为新增长引擎、锚定全球能源龙头

2026-01-1627

首次覆盖:逆变器筑基+储能领航双驱动,储能高增长跃升为新增长引擎,锚定全球能源龙头 Dual-Drive Growth: Inverters as Foundation, Storage as Leader, a New Growth Engine for Global Energy Leadership: Initiation[Table\_yemei1]…

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  • 转写自海通国际研究报告,图表、公式与最终表述以 PDF 原文为准。
  • 全文约 27 页,发布于 2026-01-16;社区摘录便于检索,不构成投资或交易建议。
  • 读储能、现货与虚拟电厂结论时,建议对照源电分省预测和交易规则,而不是直接套用研报中的全国口径。

首次覆盖:逆变器筑基+储能领航双驱动,储能高增长跃升为新增长引擎,锚定全球能源龙头 Dual-Drive Growth: Inverters as Foundation, Storage as Leader, a New Growth Engine for Global Energy Leadership: Initiation

[Table\_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus

<sup>Table\_Info]</sup> 首次覆盖优于大市Initiate with OUTPERFORM

<table><tr><td>评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM</td></tr><tr><td>现价 Rmb165.46</td></tr><tr><td>目标价 Rmb206.00</td></tr><tr><td>HTI ESG 3.7-2.6-3.0</td></tr><tr><td>E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments)</td></tr><tr><td>义利评级 BBB-</td></tr><tr><td>来源:盟浪. Reproduced by permission; no further distribution</td></tr><tr><td>市值 Rmb263.03bn /US1,854mn</td></tr><tr><td>发行股票数目 1,590mn</td></tr><tr><td>自由流通股(%) 88%</td></tr><tr><td>1年股价最高最低值 Rmb205.40-Rmb55.70</td></tr></table>

注:现价 Rmb165.46 为 2026 年 01 月 15 日收盘价

Factset

<table><tr><td></td><td>1mth</td><td>3mth</td><td>12mth</td></tr><tr><td>绝对值</td><td>-5.4%</td><td>19.1%</td><td>129.3%</td></tr><tr><td>绝对值(美元)</td><td>-4.3%</td><td>22.0%</td><td>141.0%</td></tr><tr><td>相对 MSCI China</td><td>-11.1%</td><td>17.7%</td><td>87.2%</td></tr></table>

<table><tr><td>Rmb mn</td><td>Apr-25E</td><td>Apr-26E</td><td>Apr-27E</td><td>Apr-28E</td></tr><tr><td>Revenue</td><td>77,857</td><td>98,731</td><td>120,898</td><td>149,481</td></tr><tr><td>Revenue (+/-)</td><td>8%</td><td>27%</td><td>22%</td><td>24%</td></tr><tr><td>Net profit</td><td>11,264</td><td>16,090</td><td>19,599</td><td>23,288</td></tr><tr><td>Net profit (+/-)</td><td>17%</td><td>43%</td><td>22%</td><td>19%</td></tr><tr><td>Diluted EPS (Rmb)</td><td>5.32</td><td>7.59</td><td>9.26</td><td>11.01</td></tr><tr><td>GPM</td><td>29.9%</td><td>31.9%</td><td>30.8%</td><td>29.6%</td></tr><tr><td>ROE</td><td>29.9%</td><td>31.1%</td><td>28.5%</td><td>26.1%</td></tr><tr><td>P/E</td><td>31</td><td>22</td><td>18</td><td>15</td></tr></table>

, HTI

[Table\_Author] 徐柏乔 <sub>Baiqiao</sub> <sub>Xu</sub>

bq.xu@htisec.com

李丹怡 Catherine Li

catherine.dy.li@htisec.com

(Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary)

光伏逆变器市占率稳居前列,储能业务跃升为新增长引擎。 阳光电源是全球较早布局光伏逆变器领域的厂商之一,深耕电力电子与新能源电源转换技术,围绕光伏、储能、风电及氢能等方向持续拓展业务布局,构建覆盖核心设备制造—系统集成—能源服务的完整产业链体系,形成多业务协同发展的“源—网—荷—储”一体化布局。公司光伏逆变器及储能系统产品矩阵完善,覆盖户用、工商业及大型地面电站等全场景应用,出货量与市占率长期稳居全球前列,是国家电投、华能集团等国内电力央企及特斯拉、谷歌等海外头部客户的重要供应商。

逆变器: 全球光伏装机需求持续攀升,支撑逆变器需求中长期增长。从装机规模看,全球光伏需求保持长期增长趋势。2015–2030 年全球光伏新增装机由 53GW 提升至约 930GW,2025E、2026E 年新增装机预计分别达到 610GW 和 642GW。随着行业进入市场化阶段,海外装机占比持续提升,成为全球光伏装机增长的主要驱动力。从出货规模看,2024 年公司全球逆变器出货量达 147GW,同比增长 13.08%,连续多年位居全球第一,对应全球市场份额约 23%–25%。结合在手订单及海外市场需求情况,预计 2025 年全年海外逆变器出货量有望达到 90–100GW。公司产品目前已覆盖全球 180 余个国家和地区,光伏逆变器可融资性长期位居全球前列,品牌与渠道优势显著。

储能: 大储加速放量,储能业务兑现增长。2025 年随公司的业务结构迎来质变,储能业务反超光伏逆变器,成第一增长引擎。预计 2021–2027 年全球大储新增装机规模将由 28.4GWh 提升至605GWh,年复合增长率超过 50%。在此背景下,阳光电源依托构网型储能技术、一体化系统解决方案及海外标杆项目积累,有望充分受益于行业景气上行。截至 2025 年三季度末,公司储能业务在手订单规模充足,海外订单占比高,区域结构以欧洲、中东及美洲为主,为后续业绩释放提供保障。

公司发布三季度报告:根据公司发布的 2025 年三季度报告,前三季度实现营业收入 664.02 亿元,同比增长 32.95%;归母净利润 118.81 亿元,同比大幅增长 56.34%,综合毛利率提升至34.88%,净盈利能力显著增强。经营活动现金流净额增至 99.14亿元,回款能力大幅改善。在业务结构优化与费用管控持续推进的背景下,公司中长期业绩增长具备较高可见度。

盈利预测与投资建议。我们预计,2025-2027 年,公司归属母公司净利润分别为 157.4 亿元、192.1 亿元、228.2 亿元。对应每股收益分别为 7.59 元、9.26 元、11.01 元。基于同业估值水平,考虑全球光伏储能市场的前景,且公司作为全球光伏逆变器龙头企业,多赛道布局新能源产业,规模效应突出,营收利润双增,储能业务爆发构筑新成长极,给予公司 2026 年 PE 22X,对应目标价 206 元。首次覆盖,给予“优于大市”评级。

风险提示: 1.能源及储能相关政策推进不及预期;2.全球储能行业发展不及预期;3.储能企业出海进展不及预期;4.原材料价格上涨幅度高于预期;5.储能系统单价不及预期。

目录

1.公司简介 . .. 3 1.1光伏逆变器市占率稳居前列,储能业务为新增长引擎.. ..3 1.2 发展历程.. ...3 1.3公司股本结构.. ..4 1.4 收入结构.... ....5 1.5 财务分析. ..6 1.6公司全球化布局.. ..7 2. 光伏逆变器... .... 8 2.1全球光伏装机需求持续攀升,支撑逆变器需求中长期增长... ....8 2.2产品矩阵完善,技术创新构筑护城河.. ....8 2.3逆变器海外出货量维持增长,全球多区域协同驱动增长. ..11 3. 储能 ... .... 11 3.1大储加速放量,储能业务兑现增长. ...11 3.2产品覆盖全面,系统集成与安全性优势突出.. ...12 3.3海外储能爆发式增长,盈利弹性持续释放.. ...14 4.盈利预测与假设... ... 15 4.1分项业务预测主要假设 ..15 4.2盈利预测与投资建议.. ....16 5. 风险提示 ... .... 16

1. 公司简介

1.1 光伏逆变器市占率稳居前列,储能业务为新增长引擎

公司光伏逆变器市占率稳居前列,储能业务为新增长引擎。阳光电源成立于 1997年,于2011年11月在深圳证券交易所上市。公司以“让人人享用清洁电力”为使命,聚焦光伏、风电、储能、氢能等新能源电源设备的研发、生产和销售,是全球领先的清洁电力转换技术企业,构建了"核心设备制造-系统集成-能源服务"的全产业链布局,达成多业务协同的"源网荷储"生态闭环,为国家电投,华能,特斯拉,谷歌等的供应商。

该公司率先推出"1+X"模块化逆变器等创新产品,功率覆盖 0.45kW-8800kW,逆变器产品 从微型到大型电站的全场景需求,微型逆变器、户用逆变器、组串逆变器、集中逆变器和模块化逆变器,阳光电源光伏逆变器出货量在全球市场长期保持领先地位,2023 年为全球第一,业务覆盖 100+国家。储能业务方面,公司 2024 年全球发货量 28GWh,储能全球累计装机量位居榜首。阳光电源全球首发 10MWh“交直流一体”全液冷储能系统 PowerTitan 2.0,集成“三电融合”技术,已在泰州海陵独立储能电站、沙特等国内外大型项目中应用。PowerStack 系列工商业液冷储能系统,覆盖 10/20kV 等多电压等级,其中 PowerStack 835CS 针对大工业场景定制,支持簇级管理与 AI 仿生热平衡,已在钢铁、冶金等行业批量落地,推动工商业储能从通用化向场景化定制转型。阳光电源凭借深厚的品牌地位与持续的技术创新能力,不断推动产品迭代与品类拓展,持续引领新能源行业的发展。

1.2 发展历程

1997 年阳光电源成立。

2003 年,公司自主研制的首台光伏并网逆变器成功完成投运,突破光伏并网领域的核心技术壁垒,为后续产品的规模化量产与商业化推广筑牢了技术根基。

2009 年阳光电源参与国内首个光伏特许权项目——甘肃敦煌 10MW 光伏电站建设,标志着其逆变器由示范应用迈向规模化电站场景。

2011年11月,阳光电源在创业板上市,募集资金总额为13.66亿元,网上超额认购23 倍,市场认购热情反映出对其技术和品牌效应的认可实,募集资金主要用于光伏逆变器产能扩张、研发中心建设及全球营销网络布局,进一步推动公司全球化。

2022 年,阳光电源全球首发 35kV 中压直挂式光伏逆变器,突破传统低压并网架构限制,通过省去升压变压器等环节,提升系统效率,降低电站建设成本。该技术已应用于国内吉瓦级光伏基地及海外大型项目。

2023 年,公司在青海塔拉滩光伏基地完成全球首台 2000V 组串式逆变器并网,该产品适配超高功率组件,支持双电压模式,在零下超低温环境下仍能保持稳定运营,引领行业技术升级。

2024 年,公司品牌价值突破千亿元,综合竞争力持续提升。依托在光伏、风电、储能等领域的技术优势,持续推进多能协同的新能源系统解决方案,推动清洁能源技术与应用发展。

图1 阳光电源发展历程

资料来源:阳光电源官网,HTI

1.3 公司股本结构

公司股权结构集中且保持稳定,实际控制权清晰。根据公司最新三季度报告披露,董事长曹仁贤先生持有公司30.46% 的股份,为公司实际控制人。香港中央结算有限公司持股 7.34%,为公司第二大股东。公司前十大股东还包括:中国工商银行股份有限公司-易方达创业板交易型开放式指数证券投资基金、中国工商银行股份有限公司-华泰柏瑞沪深 300 交易型开放式指数证券投资基金、中国建设银行股份有限公司-易方达沪深 300 交易型开放式指数发起式证券投资基金、中国银行股份有限公司-华泰柏瑞中证光伏产业交易型开放式指数证券投资基金、郑桂标、中国工商银行股份有限公司-华夏沪深 300 交易型开放式指数证券投资基金、中国人寿保险股份有限公司-传统-普通保险产品-005L-CT001 沪,以及麒麟亚洲控股有限公司。整体来看,公司股东结构中机构投资者占比较高,股权分布兼具集中度与流动性特征。在股权层级方面,除下表已披露的全资控股子公司外,公司还通过阳光新能源开发股份有限公司、合肥易钧财赢投资管理中心等主体开展相关业务布局。

管理层方面,公司核心管理团队长期深耕新能源行业,在电力电子技术、系统集成、产品产业化及海外市场拓展等方面具备丰富的实践经验。作为公司创始人,曹仁贤先生自公司成立以来持续参与并主导公司战略规划与重大经营决策,对光伏及储能产业的发展趋势具备较强的前瞻性判断能力。曹仁贤先生现任中国光伏行业协会理事长、第十四届全国人大代表。

公司股权结构集中、控制权稳定,并与经验丰富且长期稳定的管理团队相结合,有利于提升战略决策效率和执行力,为公司持续推进技术创新及产业化落地提供制度保障。

图2 阳光电源股本结构图

资料来源:阳光电源年报,HTI

1.4 收入结构

2024 年,逆变器业务收入占比 37.41%,为公司第一大收入来源;储能业务收入占比 32.06%;电站系统业务收入占比 26.98%;其他业务收入占比 3.55%。其中,其他业务主要包括光伏电站发电业务、新能源相关配套及服务业务以及少量非核心业务收入。逆变器业务作为公司传统核心板块,收入规模保持稳健;储能业务收入占比持续提升,已成为公司重要的结构性增长来源;电站系统业务公司在海外市场持续拓展,通过与逆变器及储能业务形成协同。

从盈利能力看,2024 年公司不同业务板块毛利率水平分化较为明显。电站系统业务毛利率为 19.40%,处于相对较低水平;逆变器业务毛利率为 30.90%,维持在较为稳健区间;储能业务毛利率为 36.69%,显著高于公司其他核心业务;其他业务毛利率为 39.04%。

电站系统业务以 EPC 及系统集成为主,项目属性较强,成本结构中设备、施工及融资成本占比较高,毛利率水平相对受限。逆变器业务依托长期积累的技术优势、规模效应及品牌影响力,毛利率保持在 30% 左右,反映出公司在该领域的综合竞争力。

储能业务以系统级解决方案为核心,覆盖 PCS、电池系统集成、BMS 及能量管理等多个关键环节,对系统集成能力及产品可靠性要求较高,客户粘性相对较强,有助于维持较高的定价水平。伴随海外高毛利市场需求逐步释放,以及产品结构向液冷化、高容量方向升级,储能业务盈利能力持续改善。

展望未来,公司盈利能力将主要取决于储能业务放量节奏及其在收入结构中的占比变化。我们预计,2025 年储能业务收入有望延续较快增长态势,增速显著高于公司整体水平,储能板块收入规模有望维持2025年上半年的趋势超过逆变器业务,成为公司主要增长来源之一。在储能业务收入占比及毛利率同步提升的带动下,公司2025–2027 年整体毛利率中枢具备稳中抬升的基础,高毛利业务的持续放量将对公司中长期盈利形成支撑。

图3 阳光电源2024年收入结构+毛利率细分图

资料来源:阳光电源年报,HTI

1.5 财务分析

根据公司发布的 2025 年三季度报告,前三季度实现营业收入 664.02 亿元,同比增长 32.95%;归母净利润 118.81 亿元,同比大幅增长 56.34%,综合毛利率提升至34.88%,净盈利能力显著增强。经营活动现金流净额更是同比激增1133%至99.14亿元,回款能力大幅改善。

公司持续推进精细化费用管理,期间费用率保持在较低水平。2025 年 1–9 月,公司期间费用率为 11.78%,整体费用控制能力维持稳健。其中,销售费用率为 5.32%,较上年同期下降 0.24%,反映出公司在渠道效率提升及规模效应释放方面取得积极成效;管理费用率为1.92%,同比亦呈下降趋势,内部管理效率持续改善。

在强化费用控制的同时,公司保持对核心技术领域的高强度研发投入。截至2025 年第三季度,公司研发费用为 31.40 亿元,同比增长 32.16%,研发费用率为 4.73%。研发投入重点布局于逆变器、储能系统、氢能、电动车及充电桩等方向,有助于夯实公司在电力电子及新能源系统解决方案领域的技术壁垒,为中长期业务拓展与产品迭代提供持续支撑。

按单季度拆分来看,2025 年一季度公司实现营业收入 215.65 亿元,归母净利润35.23 亿元(同比+82.52%);二季度营业收入 219.68 亿元,归母净利润 42.11 亿元(同比+50.23%);三季度营业收入 228.69 亿元,归母净利润 41.47 亿元(同比+57.04%),其中三季度单季净利润创历史新高,展现出稳健的盈利节奏。

营收结构方面发生变化,储能业务已取代光伏逆变器成为第一大收入来源。2025 年上半年,储能业务营收达 178 亿元,占总营收比重 40.89%,前三季度储能系统收入进一步增至 288 亿元,同比高增 105%,海外出货占比从去年同期的 63%提升至83%,带动平均销售单价同比提升 21%,毛利率维持 39%以上的高位水平。光伏逆变器业务保持平稳增长,前三季度收入 234亿元,同比增长 6%,受益于海外市场结构优化,国内发货占比从 48%降至 40%,毛利率稳步提升;新能源电站开发业务受国内政策调整影响,前三季度收入 113 亿元,同比下滑 13%。

结合行业季节性特征、海外订单需求及公司业绩惯性,对2025年四季度业绩做出预测:,受益于储能超预期交付及美国 AIDC 订单放量,四季度归母净利润有望达 38亿元,全年归母净利润 157 亿元,同比增长 43%,公司全年业绩高增确定性较强。

2021-2024 年,公司营业收入增速先迅速由负增长转为高正增长随后迅速回落,营收同比增速在 2022 年后从高增区间持续回落,2024 年陷入低位,归母净利润同比增速同步承压。

2024 年受光伏行业产业链供需关系影响,营收与利润增速均出现回落;2025 年随公司的业务结构迎来质变,储能业务反超光伏逆变器,成第一增长引擎。营收与归母净利润同比增速均显著回升,盈利端修复节奏更快。

图4 阳光电源2021-2024年公司营业收入及增速(百万元)/ 归母净利润收入及增速(百万元)

资料来源:阳光电源年报,WIND

图5 阳光电源2021-2024年毛利率净利率走势+各项费用率走势

资料来源:阳光电源年报,WIND

1.6 公司全球化布局

作为全球新能源电源设备龙头企业,阳光电源积极拓展海外业务版图。公司产品和解决方案广泛应用于欧洲、北美、中东、拉美、亚太及非洲等区域,业务覆盖全球180 多个国家和地区。

图6 阳光电源全球布局

资料来源:阳光电源年报,HTI

2. 光伏逆变器

2.1 全球光伏装机需求持续攀升,支撑逆变器需求中长期增长

光伏行业已完成由补贴驱动向市场化驱动的阶段性转变。补贴期以财政支持为主,行业收益水平较高但波动性大、回款周期较长;平价期光伏发电成本逐步接近火电,在“保量保价”消纳机制下收益稳定性和回款质量明显改善;进入市场化阶段后,新能源电价下行背景下的电价差逐步显现,光伏与储能的协同成为新的价值创造核心,“光伏→储能”的发展逻辑日益清晰。

从装机规模看,全球光伏需求保持长期增长趋势。2015–2030 年全球光伏新增装机由 53GW 提升至约 930GW,2025E、2026E 年新增装机预计分别达到 610GW 和642GW。随着行业进入市场化阶段,海外装机占比持续提升,成为全球光伏装机增长的主要驱动力。从累计规模看,截至 2024 年底,全球光伏累计装机容量已由2023 年的约 1.6TW 提升至 2.2TW 以上,年度新增装机超过 600GW,太阳能在全球新增可再生能源装机中的占比已超过八成,仍处于绝对主导地位。

中国仍是全球光伏增长的重要支撑力量。2024 年国内新增装机占全球比重约 60%,2025 年以来国内装机动能继续强化,前四个月新增装机同比增速超过 70%,其中 4月单月同比增幅超过200%,反映出国内需求在政策与经济性共振下持续释放。

行业长期增长的根本驱动力仍来自成本下降与效率提升。一方面,光伏度电成本持续下行,2010–2024 年国内光伏度电成本由约 0.297 美元/kWh 降至约 0.033 美元/kWh,近三年国内度电成本进一步降至 0.20 元/kWh 左右,部分西北区域已低至0.16 元/kWh,显著强化了光伏在电力结构中的成本竞争力。另一方面,供给侧通过“反内卷”逐步实现出清,多晶硅落后产能加速淘汰,叠加能耗标准趋严,行业有效供给趋于收敛,有助于改善中长期供需格局。组件价格下行虽压缩产业链环节利润,但显著降低光伏项目初始投资成本,成为全球装机需求持续释放的重要推动因素。

展望 2025–2030 年,全球光伏装机有望由高速扩张阶段逐步过渡至规模化、稳定增长阶段。在欧美能源转型政策延续、新兴市场电力需求增长以及光伏发电经济性持续改善的共同推动下,新增装机规模仍将维持较高景气度。与此同时,早期光伏项目陆续进入逆变器更换周期,叠加大型地面电站及工商业分布式占比提升,逆变器需求结构持续优化,光伏装机的长期增长为逆变器行业提供了坚实的中长期需求基础。

具备规模优势、产品矩阵完整及全球渠道能力的头部逆变器厂商阳光电源,将在2025–2030 年周期中持续受益于行业集中度提升和单瓦价值提升的双重驱动。

2.2 产品矩阵完善,技术创新构筑护城河

公司在光伏逆变器领域持续推进产品创新与技术迭代,围绕大型地面电站、工商业分布式及户用市场,构建起覆盖集中式、组串式及微型逆变器在内的完整产品体系。通过在高功率化、模块化、智能运维及安全可靠性等方向持续突破,公司产品在系统降本增效、电站安全及全生命周期运维效率等方面具备显著优势。

在集中式及大型地面电站领域,公司持续推进逆变器高功率化与系统集成能力提升。通过提升单机功率水平、减少设备数量,公司能够有效降低系统侧 BOS 成本,提升项目整体经济性。在组串式逆变器领域,公司依托长期技术积累,在高功率密度、散热管理及可靠性设计方面形成成熟解决方案,兼顾发电效率与运维便利性,广泛应用于工商业及复杂地形场景。

在技术创新方面,公司持续推进光伏系统的高压化与模块化升级。2000V 高压逆变器的成功应用,标志着光伏系统在电压等级上的新一轮跃迁。相较于传统 1500V 系统,高压化方案能够在相同装机规模下显著降低线缆、汇流及变压器等配套设备成本,从系统层面实现降本增效。这一技术路线对逆变器在绝缘设计、电力电子器件选型及系统可靠性方面提出更高要求,具备较高技术壁垒。

此外,公司在模块化设计方面持续深化布局。通过模块化逆变器架构,公司能够实现功率灵活配置、运维效率提升及系统冗余设计优化,尤其适用于大型地面电站及海外项目,对提升系统可用率及降低运维成本具有显著意义。

综合来看,阳光电源通过“全场景产品矩阵 + 高压化、模块化技术路线”的持续推进,在光伏逆变器领域构筑了较为坚实的技术与产品护城河,使其能够在行业竞争加剧的环境下,持续保持领先地位。

图 7 公司主要产品 <table><tr><td colspan="2">公司主要产品 光伏逆变器 风电变流器</td></tr><tr><td> </td><td> </td></tr><tr><td>储能系统 </td><td>智慧运维 </td></tr><tr><td>电站业务 </td><td> </td></tr><tr><td colspan="2">水面光伏 充电设备 </td></tr></table>

资料来源:阳光电源年报,HTI

图8 阳光电源光伏产品 <table><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=3>公司光伏逆变系列主要产品</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>产品名称</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>产品示例</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>产品简介</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>“1+X”模块化产品</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1></td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>公司在行业中率先推出的新型逆变器产品——“1+X”模块化逆变器,目前全球累计出货超40GW。采用模块化设计,单台设备功率为1.1MW,通过多机并联可实现1.1MW-8.8MW子阵灵活配置,建站更灵活,运维更简便。首创大功率逆变器智能V诊断、直流并联拉弧检测与关断等技术,进一步简化系统运维、提高发电效率,保障电站安全。</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>SG320HX系列组串逆变器</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1></td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>随着大功率组件广泛应用,阳光电源针对大型地面电站推出SG320HX大功率组串式逆变器,通过风道健康度AI 管理、MPPT 级绝缘监测、交直流端子温感、强弱电网自适应等先进技术应用,在智能运维、安全可靠、支撑电网等维度全面升级,持续引领300kW+大功率组串逆变器市场。</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>SG30-125CX-P2 组串逆变器</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1></td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>公司基于精准的市场洞察,率先推出125kW大功率工商业逆变器,更大功率,1+Ⅱ防雷,AFCI2.0,持续为工商业电站安全保驾护航,全球实现大批量应用。</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>SG150CX 系列逆变器</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1></td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>公司深度洞察客户需求和组件更新趋势,推出150kW工商业逆变器。搭载智能电弧检测3.0,支持48A 电流和450米线缆检测。新增交直流温感检测,自动识别异常温度,智能关断保护设备。配备20ms瞬时跳脱开关,确保电站安全。升级变频风道自清洁技术,每日自动除尘,维护系统高效运行。引领行业高质量产品标杆。</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>SG10-30T-CN户用逆变器</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1></td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>随着大功率光伏组件的广泛应用及更大户用光伏系统的安装需求,阳光电源对RT系列产品进行全方位升级。单组串输入电流提升至18A,可灵活适配大功率光伏组件和双面光伏组件;进一步扩展产品功率段,满足更广泛的户用装机需求。</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>微型逆变器 S450S/S800S/S1600S</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1></td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>的绿色电力生活。微型逆变器S450S/S800S/S1600S 公司首款全系列微型逆变器产品 S450S、S800S 和 S1600S,额定功率分别为450W、800W、1600W,适配阳台、屋顶等场景。高效散热设计,无惧弱光、高温,发电量较同类产品高出 2%,即使 60℃高温无风环境,依然满功率运行。安装便捷,采用即插即用设计,安装效率可提升30%,具备一键同步配网、智能自检等功能。通过200余项安全测试,具备12项国际权威标准认证,防护等级达 IP67、C5。独立 MPPT设计,直流侧电压始终低于 60V,从根源杜绝直流拉弧火灾风险,提供极致安全守护。</td></tr></table>

资料来源:阳光电源年报,HTI

2.3 逆变器海外出货量维持增长,全球多区域协同驱动增长

作为全球光伏逆变器龙头企业,阳光电源海外出货保持增长,已成为公司逆变器业务的重要驱动力。从出货规模看,2024 年公司全球逆变器出货量达147GW,同比增长 13.08%,连续多年位居全球第一,对应全球市场份额约 23%–25%。 2025 年前三季度公司逆变器业务海外发货占比升至约60%,2024 年为52% ,在产品结构改善的带动下,逆变器业务毛利率提升至 35.74%。结合在手订单及海外市场需求情况,预计 2025 年全年海外逆变器出货量有望达到 90–100GW,。公司产品目前已覆盖全球180 余个国家和地区,光伏逆变器可融资性长期位居全球前列,品牌与渠道优势显著。

3. 储能

3.1 大储加速放量,储能业务兑现增长

2025 年随公司的业务结构迎来质变,储能业务反超光伏逆变器,成第一增长引擎。 营收与归母净利润同比增速均显著回升,盈利端修复节奏更快。

随着全球新能源渗透率持续提升,电力系统运行逻辑正由传统的“源随荷动”逐步向“源荷双向调节”转变,电网对灵活性与稳定性的要求显著提高。从应用结构看,全球储能市场正由以户用储能为主的初期阶段,向以大型储能(表前储能、独立储能)为主导的阶段过渡。相较户用储能,大型储能项目在容量规模、运行模式及收益结构上更具系统性,其收益来源涵盖电力现货套利、调频调峰、容量补偿及辅助服务等多个维度,在电力市场化程度较高的区域,商业模式逐步清晰,项目可持续性显著增强。预计 2021–2027 年全球大储新增装机规模将由 28.4GWh 提升至605GWh,年复合增长率超过 50%。在此背景下,阳光电源依托构网型储能技术、一体化系统解决方案及海外标杆项目积累,有望充分受益于行业景气上行。

中国是全球最大的储能市场,大型储能新增规模预计由 2021 年的 5GWh 提升至2027 年的 350GWh,2021–2027 年复合增长率超过 90%,其中 2025–2027 年增速分别为 40%、56% 和 46%。从市场逻辑看,储能商业模式正发生实质性变化:发电侧新能源电价市场化释放价差空间,容量电价政策为储能收益提供底层支撑,过往“强制配储但缺乏增量收益”的模式已明显改善。尽管电网侧配储尚未全面纳入输配电价体系,但用户侧峰谷套利仍具备较强经济性。作为国内储能龙头,阳光电源覆盖发电侧、电网侧及用户侧多场景应用,依托 PowerTitan 液冷储能系统,在国内大储市场市占率保持领先,充分受益于本土市场放量

美国市场:法案驱动集中释放,抢装后增速趋于平稳

美国大储市场在政策驱动下呈现阶段性抢装特征,新增规模预计由 2021 年的10.9GWh 提升至 2027 年的 58GWh。2021–2024 年增速分别为 21%、110% 和 34%,2025 年后增速逐步回落至中低双位数水平。阳光电源针对美国市场推出符合UL1741 标准的储能逆变器及系统解决方案,产品具备较强溢价能力,2024 年在美国储能逆变器市占率约 32%,并通过本地化渠道与项目经验承接抢装需求,稳居核心供应商行列。

欧洲市场:2025 年进入放量拐点,大储需求加速释放

欧洲储能市场在经历 2022–2023 年户储高峰后,2025 年成为大型储能放量的重要拐点。随着新能源渗透率提升,电网稳定性约束日益突出,大储需求显著增强。预计欧洲大储新增规模将由 2021 年的 4.2GWh 增至 2027 年的 70GWh,2024–2027 年增速分别为15%、60%、43% 和40%,意大利与英国为主要增量来源。阳光电源在欧洲市场布局领先,与英国 Fidra Energy 签署的 4.4GWh 储能项目为区域内标杆工程,PowerTitan 2.0 液冷系统能够满足欧洲电网对稳定性和可靠性的高要求,2024 年公司在欧洲储能逆变器市占率超过35%。

中东市场:新能源+储能路径清晰,订单集中释放

中东地区已明确以新能源叠加储能作为能源转型的主要路径,近两年储能项目订单快速增长。预计区域大储新增规模将由 2023 年的 6GWh 提升至 2027 年的 35GWh,2024–2027 年增速分别为 233%、50%、50% 和 17%。阳光电源凭借沙特 ALGIHAZ7.8GWh 构网型储能项目为全球同类最大项目,在交付与调试效率上树立行业标杆,2024 年公司在中东逆变器市占率已突破50%,区域龙头地位稳固。

其他新兴市场:多点开花,贡献新增量

印度、拉美及澳洲等新兴市场正成为全球储能新增需求的重要来源,预计2027 年大储新增规模分别达到 15GWh、12GWh 和 15GWh,2024–2027 年复合增速均超过60%。阳光电源通过泰国、印度、墨西哥等地的本地化生产布局,有效降低关税与物流成本,并配合“逆变器+系统+运维”一体化方案,加速新兴市场渗透。2025 年拉美市场逆变器出货增速超过40%。

我们认为,户储经过前几年去库存,2025 年或重新恢复增长态势,有利于户储企业盈利恢复。同时,工商储和大储强势发展,阳光电源为首的中国储能企业优势明显。

3.2 产品覆盖全面,系统集成与安全性优势突出

阳光电源已形成覆盖大型地面、工商业及户用场景的完整产品体系,产品迭代节奏与行业技术演进高度匹配。大型储能方面,公司 PowerTitan 系列持续升级,PowerTitan 2.0 在系统集成度、电网适应性及可靠性方面进一步强化,已在海外大型项目中实现规模化应用,成为公司大储业务的核心产品。

公司储能系统在热管理、电气防护及系统监控等维度持续强化,通过液冷方案、主动安全监测及快速保护机制,提升系统在高温、高负载及复杂电网条件下的运行可靠性,降低全生命周期运维风险。相关产品已在海外多区域实现规模化应用,运行数据及项目经验进一步验证其系统稳定性。

图9 阳光电源储能产品 <table><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=3>公司储能系列主要产品</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>产品名称</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>产品示例</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>产品简介</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>PowerTitan 2.0 大型地面储能系统</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1></td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>公司在行业中率先推出的新型逆变器产品——“1+X”模块化逆变器,目前全球累计出货超40GW。采用模块化设计,单台设备功率为1.1MW,通过多机并联可实现1.1MW-8.8MW子阵灵活配置,建站更灵活,运维更简便。首创大功率逆变器智能IV诊断、直流并联拉弧检测与关断等技术,进一步简化系统运维、提高发电效率,保障电站安全。</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>PowerTitan 1.0 大型地面储能系统</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1></td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>随着大功率组件广泛应用,阳光电源针对大型地面电站推出 SG320HX大功率组串式逆变器,通过风道健康度AI管理、MPPT级绝缘监测、交直流端子温感、强弱电网自适应等先进技术应用,在智能运维、安全可靠、支撑电网等维度全面升级,持续引领300kW+大功率组串逆变器市场。</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>PowerStack 200CS 工商业储能系统</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1></td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>公司基于精准的市场洞察,率先推出125kW大功率工商业逆变器,更大功率,1+ⅡI防雷,AFCI2.0,持续为工商业电站安全保驾护航,全球实现大批量应用。</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>二代户用电池 SBH100 400</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1></td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>公司深度洞察客户需求和组件更新趋势,推出150kW工商业逆变器。搭载智能电弧检测3.0,支持 48A 电流和 450 米线缆检测。新增交直流温感检测,自动识别异常温度,智能关断保护设备。配备20ms瞬时跳脱开关,确保电站安全。升级变频风道自清洁技术,每日自动除尘,维护系统高效运行。引领行业高质量产品标杆。</td></tr><tr><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>户用 5 度电小电池 SBS050</td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1></td><td rowspan=1 colspan=1>随着大功率光伏组件的广泛应用及更大户用光伏系统的安装需求,阳光电源对RT系列产品进行全方位升级。单组串输入电流提升至18A,可灵活适配大功率光伏组件和双面光伏组件;进一步扩展产品功率段,满足更广泛的户用装机需求。</td></tr></table>

资料来源:阳光电源年报,HTI

3.3 海外储能爆发式增长,盈利弹性持续释放

阳光电源已形成覆盖大型地面、工商业及户用场景的完整产品体系,产品迭代节奏与行业技术演进高度匹配。整体来看,海外储能市场进入加速放量阶段,公司凭借领先的产品体系、构网型技术优势及多区域标杆项目积累,海外业务盈利弹性有望持续释放。

一方面,全球光储一体化趋势持续推进,大型及工商业储能需求加速释放,为公司海外逆变器与储能系统出货提供良好市场环境;另一方面,公司海外业务持续聚焦欧美、中东等高毛利区域,叠加“系统+运维”的综合解决方案及本地化生产布局,推动海外项目毛利率提升。公司毛利结构向高毛利储能倾斜,其占比大幅提升,盈利质量优化。2021-2024 年,公司毛利润结构的优化趋势更突出:储能业务毛利润占比从 22.29% 跃升至 32.03%,成为毛利核心增长极;逆变器虽仍是毛利第一贡献者,但占比从 59% 回落至 43.21%;电站系统毛利占比略有提升但低于其营收占比,反映利润重心持续向高毛利的储能业务集中,盈利质量逐步改善。

图10 阳光电源2021-2024年营收结构+毛利率结构

资料来源:阳光电源年报,WIND

截至2025 年三季度末,公司储能业务在手订单规模充足,海外订单占比高,区域结构以欧洲、中东及美洲为主,为后续业绩释放提供了较强保障。

公司在海外市场持续落地标杆项目,包括与Fidra Energy 的欧洲大型储能合作、沙特7.8GWh 构网型储能项目、英国Bramley 构网型储能示范项目,以及与亚马逊AWS 签署的储能框架订单等,上述项目在技术验证、交付能力及品牌影响力方面均具备示范意义,有助于公司进一步拓展海外市场空间。

4. 盈利预测与假设

4.1 分项业务预测主要假设

(1)光伏逆变器业务

收入:我们认为,在全球能源结构向低碳转型的背景下,光伏发电仍是新增电力装机的核心来源,全球光伏装机需求结构性增长显著,将带动逆变器出货量持续增长。公司作为全球光伏逆变器龙头厂商,产品功率范围覆盖户用、工商业及大型地面电站等全应用场景,叠加 1500V/2000V 高压化及模块化技术壁垒,有望在行业中持续维持龙头地位。我们预计,我们预计,2025–2027 年,公司光伏逆变器及电力转换设备业务收入增速分别为11%、9%、8%。

(2)储能系统业务

收入:我们认为,受益于欧洲市场从户储向大储的结构性转型,叠加意大利、英国主导的欧洲大储市场于2025年年底回暖,储能行业增长确定性持续增强。公司在储能系统集成领域具备领先的系统设计、集成与交付能力,产品覆盖 PCS、储能系统集成、液冷储能系统及系统级解决方案,能够满足海外大型储能项目对安全性、可靠性及全生命周期成本的综合要求。公司积极拓展海外市场,海外项目持续落地,欧洲核心市场市占率稳步提升,受益于全球能源转型红利,储能业务已成为公司最核心的业绩增长来源。

我们预计,2025–2027 年公司储能系统业务收入将维持高增态势,增速显著高于公司整体收入增速。公司储能系统业务收入增速分别为 18%、18%、15%。

(3)新能源电站系统及开发业务

收入:公司新能源电站系统业务主要包括光伏及储能电站系统解决方案。我们认为,公司在海外市场持续拓展,通过与逆变器及储能业务形成协同,在部分海外项目中提升整体解决方案渗透率,为该板块中长期发展提供支撑。

我们预计,2025–2027 年该板块收入整体保持平稳增长,公司电站投资开发业务收入增速分别为5%、5%、5%。

(4)其他新能源业务

收入: 公司积极布局风电、氢能、电动车及充电桩等新兴新能源领域,其中,风电变流器业务受益于海外风电项目推进及公司产品技术成熟度提升,订单规模逐步扩大,收入增长具备一定弹性。

我们预计,2025–2027 年该板块收入保持稳健增长,毛利率整体维持稳定,公司风电变流器业务收入增速分别为15%、29%、25%。

(5)合计

基于对各业务板块的预测假设,我们预计,公司 2025–2027 年整体收入将保持较快增长,增长动能主要来自储能系统业务放量,光伏逆变器业务提供稳健支撑。随着高毛利储能业务占比持续提升,公司综合毛利率与盈利能力有望维持在较高水平,整体业绩增长具备较强确定性。

4.2 盈利预测与投资建议

我们预计,2025-2027 年,公司归属母公司净利润分别为 157.4 亿元、192.1 亿元、228.2 亿元。对应每股收益分别为 7.59 元、9.26 元、11.01 元。基于同业估值水平,考虑全球光伏储能市场的前景,且公司作为全球光伏逆变器龙头企业,多赛道布局新能源产业,规模效应突出,营收利润双增,储能业务爆发构筑新成长极,给予公司 2026 年 PE 22X,对应目标价 206 元。首次覆盖,给予“优于大市”评级。

图11 阳光电源可比公司估值 <table><tr><td>代码</td><td>公司</td><td>收盘价(元) 1月14日</td><td>总市值(亿元) 1月14日</td><td>EPS(元) 2026E</td><td>PE(x) 2026E</td></tr><tr><td>300827.SZ</td><td>上能电气</td><td>40.65</td><td>198.00</td><td>1.55</td><td>25.36</td></tr><tr><td>605117.SH</td><td>德业股份</td><td>83.70</td><td>760.57</td><td>4.67</td><td>18.64</td></tr><tr><td>688411.SH</td><td>海博思创</td><td>235.27</td><td>423.70</td><td>10.93</td><td>21.88</td></tr><tr><td>688717.SH</td><td>艾罗能源</td><td>73.76</td><td>118.02</td><td>3.22</td><td>23.00</td></tr><tr><td>行业平均</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td>22.22</td></tr></table>

资料来源:海通国际,彭博;注:收盘价为2026 年 1 月14 日价格,可比公司盈利预测均来源于彭博一致预期

5. 风险提示

能源及储能相关政策推进不及预期;2.全球储能行业发展不及预期;3.储能企业出海进展不及预期;4.原材料价格上涨幅度高于预期;5.储能系统单价不及预期。

图12 阳光电源分业务盈利预测 <table><tr><td></td><td>2022</td><td>2023</td><td>2024</td><td>2025E</td><td>2026E</td><td>2027E</td></tr><tr><td>光伏逆变器</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>收入(百万元)</td><td>15717.35</td><td>27653.07</td><td>29127.04</td><td>32340</td><td>35250.6</td><td>38070.648</td></tr><tr><td>成本(百万元)</td><td>10495.62</td><td>17163.27</td><td>20128.01</td><td>21991.2</td><td>23970.408</td><td>25888.04064</td></tr><tr><td>毛利率</td><td>33.22%</td><td>37.93%</td><td>30.90%</td><td>32.00%</td><td>32.00%</td><td>32.00%</td></tr><tr><td>增长率</td><td>77%</td><td>76%</td><td>5%</td><td>11%</td><td>9%</td><td>8%</td></tr><tr><td>电站</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>收入(百万元)</td><td>11603.81</td><td>24733.98</td><td>21003</td><td>19952.85</td><td>20351.907</td><td>20758.94514</td></tr><tr><td>成本(百万元)</td><td>10123.92</td><td>20687.28</td><td>16928.42</td><td>16361.337</td><td>16688.56374</td><td>17022.33501</td></tr><tr><td>毛利率</td><td>12.75%</td><td>16.36%</td><td>19.40%</td><td>18.00%</td><td>18.00%</td><td>18.00%</td></tr><tr><td>增长率</td><td>20%</td><td>113%</td><td>-15%</td><td>-5%</td><td>2%</td><td>2%</td></tr><tr><td>储能</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>收入(百万元)</td><td>10126.47</td><td>17801.52</td><td>24959.17</td><td>42840</td><td>60690</td><td>84894.6</td></tr><tr><td>成本(百万元)</td><td>7773.29</td><td>11131.62</td><td>15800.85</td><td>26560.8</td><td>40055.4</td><td>58577.274</td></tr><tr><td>毛利率</td><td>23.24%</td><td>37.47%</td><td>36.69%</td><td>38.00%</td><td>34.00%</td><td>31.00%</td></tr><tr><td>增长率</td><td>223%</td><td>76%</td><td>40%</td><td>72%</td><td>42%</td><td>40%</td></tr><tr><td>其他业务</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>收入(百万元)</td><td>2809.61</td><td>2062.1</td><td>2767.76</td><td>3598.088</td><td>4605.55264</td><td>5756.9408</td></tr><tr><td>成本(百万元)</td><td>1982.98</td><td>1335.4</td><td>1687.33</td><td>2338.7572</td><td>2993.609216</td><td>3742.01152</td></tr><tr><td>毛利率</td><td>29.42%</td><td>35.24%</td><td>39.04%</td><td>35.00%</td><td>35.00%</td><td>35.00%</td></tr><tr><td>营业收入(百万元)</td><td>40257.24</td><td>72250.67</td><td>77856.97</td><td>98730.938</td><td>120898.0596</td><td>149481.1339</td></tr><tr><td>营业成本(百万元)</td><td>30375.81</td><td>50317.57</td><td>54544.61</td><td>67252.0942</td><td>83707.98096</td><td>105229.6612</td></tr><tr><td>毛利率</td><td>24.55%</td><td>30.36%</td><td>29.94%</td><td>31.88%</td><td>30.76%</td><td>29.60%</td></tr><tr><td>增长率</td><td>67%</td><td>79%</td><td>8%</td><td>27%</td><td>22%</td><td>24%</td></tr></table>

资料来源:公司年报,海通国际

财务报表分析和预测 <table><tr><td>主要财务指标</td><td>2024</td><td>2025E</td><td>2026E</td><td>2027E</td></tr><tr><td>每股指标(元)</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>每股收益</td><td>5.32</td><td>7.59</td><td>9.26</td><td>11.01</td></tr><tr><td>每股净资产</td><td>17.80</td><td>24.37</td><td>32.49</td><td>42.13</td></tr><tr><td>每股经营现金流</td><td>5.82</td><td>5.74</td><td>8.72</td><td>9.81</td></tr><tr><td>每股股利</td><td>1.08</td><td>0.94</td><td>1.15</td><td>1.36</td></tr><tr><td>价值评估(倍)</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>P/E</td><td>32.28</td><td>22.64</td><td>18.55</td><td>15.61</td></tr><tr><td>P/B</td><td>9.65</td><td>7.05</td><td>5.29</td><td>4.08</td></tr><tr><td>P/S</td><td>4.58</td><td>3.61</td><td>2.95</td><td>2.38</td></tr><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td><td>10.10</td><td>16.33</td><td>36.94</td><td>10.49</td></tr><tr><td>股息率%</td><td>0.6%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>0.7%</td><td>0.8%</td></tr><tr><td>盈利能力指标(%)</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>毛利率</td><td>29.9%</td><td>31.9%</td><td>30.8%</td><td>29.6%</td></tr><tr><td>净利润率</td><td>14.47%</td><td>16.30%</td><td>16.21%</td><td>15.58%</td></tr><tr><td>净资产收益率</td><td>29.9%</td><td>31.1%</td><td>28.5%</td><td>26.1%</td></tr><tr><td>资产回报率</td><td>11.4%</td><td>12.9%</td><td>13.0%</td><td>12.5%</td></tr><tr><td>投资回报率</td><td>21.7%</td><td>24.9%</td><td>23.7%</td><td>22.5%</td></tr><tr><td>盈利增长(%)</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>营业收入增长率</td><td>7.8%</td><td>26.8%</td><td>22.5%</td><td>23.6%</td></tr><tr><td>EBIT 增长率</td><td>17.4%</td><td>46.2%</td><td>21.4%</td><td>18.9%</td></tr><tr><td>归母净利润增长率 偿债能力指标</td><td>16.9%</td><td>42.6%</td><td>22.1%</td><td>18.8%</td></tr><tr><td>资产负债率</td><td>65.1%</td><td>59.9%</td><td>57.2%</td><td>55.4%</td></tr><tr><td>流动比率</td><td>1.6</td><td>1.7</td><td>1.8</td><td>1.9</td></tr><tr><td>速动比率</td><td>1.0</td><td>1.1</td><td>1.2</td><td>1.2</td></tr><tr><td>现金比率</td><td>0.5</td><td>0.6</td><td>0.6</td><td>0.7</td></tr><tr><td>经营效率指标</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>应收账款周转天数</td><td>112.7</td><td>109.6</td><td>106.9</td><td>105.6</td></tr><tr><td>存货周转天数</td><td>166.6</td><td>171.1</td><td>168.3</td><td>167.8</td></tr><tr><td>总资产周转率</td><td>0.8</td><td>0.8</td><td>0.8</td><td>0.8</td></tr><tr><td>固定资产周转率</td><td>10.1</td><td>10.2</td><td>11.4</td><td>13.4</td></tr></table>

<table><tr><td>现金流量表(百万元)</td><td>2024</td><td>2025E</td><td>2026E</td><td>2027E</td></tr><tr><td>净利润</td><td>11264.23</td><td>16089.92</td><td>19598.83</td><td>23287.97</td></tr><tr><td>少数股东损益</td><td>227.95</td><td>353.98</td><td>391.98</td><td>465.76</td></tr><tr><td>非现金支出</td><td>2645.40</td><td>3221.61</td><td>3609.40</td><td>3974.64</td></tr><tr><td>非经营收益</td><td>-916.72</td><td>-124.93</td><td>-148.87</td><td>-243.59</td></tr><tr><td>营运资金变动</td><td>-924.59</td><td>-7293.25</td><td>-4980.08</td><td>-6672.49</td></tr><tr><td>经营活动现金流</td><td>12068.33</td><td>11893.36</td><td>18079.28</td><td>20346.53</td></tr><tr><td>资本性支出</td><td>-2785.09</td><td>-2977.00</td><td>-2579.00</td><td>-2380.00</td></tr><tr><td>投资</td><td>-8466.63</td><td>-1175.00</td><td>-950.00</td><td>-635.00</td></tr><tr><td>其他</td><td>-5.76</td><td>-391.03</td><td>-85.00</td><td>-90.00</td></tr><tr><td>投资活动现金流</td><td>-10853.07</td><td>-4049.37</td><td>-3009.51</td><td>-2357.59</td></tr><tr><td>债权募资</td><td>896.51</td><td>-1139.41</td><td>1180.00</td><td>1000.00</td></tr><tr><td>股权募资</td><td>145.62</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><td>其他</td><td>-1737.97</td><td>-2412.60</td><td>-2902.96</td><td>-3403.21</td></tr><tr><td>融资活动现金流</td><td>258.80</td><td>-2751.71</td><td>-1722.96</td><td>-2403.21</td></tr><tr><td>现金净流量</td><td>1450.21</td><td>5090.19</td><td>13346.82</td><td>15585.72</td></tr></table>

备注:(1)表中计算估值指标的收盘价日期为01月14 日;(2)以上各表均为简表资料来源:公司年报,海通国际

<table><tr><td>利润表(百万元)</td><td>2024</td><td>2025E</td><td>2026E</td><td>2027E</td></tr><tr><td>营业总收入</td><td>77,856.97</td><td>98,730.94</td><td>120,898.06</td><td>149,481.13</td></tr><tr><td>营业成本</td><td>54,544.61</td><td>67,252.09</td><td>83,707.98</td><td>105,229.66</td></tr><tr><td>毛利率%</td><td>29.94%</td><td>31.88%</td><td>30.76%</td><td>29.60%</td></tr><tr><td>营业税金及附加</td><td>403.07</td><td>513.40</td><td>628.67</td><td>777.30</td></tr><tr><td>营业税金率%</td><td>0.52%</td><td>0.52%</td><td>0.52%</td><td>0.52%</td></tr><tr><td>营业费用</td><td>3,760.60</td><td>4,739.09</td><td>5,440.41</td><td>6,577.17</td></tr><tr><td>营业费用率%</td><td>4.83%</td><td>4.80%</td><td>4.50%</td><td>4.40%</td></tr><tr><td>管理费用</td><td>1,200.83</td><td>1,530.33</td><td>1,813.47</td><td>2,242.22</td></tr><tr><td>管理费用率%</td><td>1.54%</td><td>1.55%</td><td>1.50%</td><td>1.50%</td></tr><tr><td>EBIT</td><td>13,453.77</td><td>19,664.27</td><td>23,870.93</td><td>28,391.05</td></tr><tr><td>财务费用</td><td>290.41</td><td>325.43</td><td>399.27</td><td>501.27</td></tr><tr><td>财务费用率%</td><td>0.37%</td><td>0.33%</td><td>0.33%</td><td>0.34%</td></tr><tr><td>资产减值损失</td><td>-777.80</td><td>-1,438.00</td><td>-1,558.00</td><td>-1,674.00</td></tr><tr><td>投资收益</td><td>419.57</td><td>493.65</td><td>604.49</td><td>747.41</td></tr><tr><td>营业利润</td><td>13,564.21</td><td>19,345.85</td><td>23,480.66</td><td>27,899.78</td></tr><tr><td>营业外收支</td><td>-19.92</td><td>-7.00</td><td>-9.00</td><td>-10.00</td></tr><tr><td>利润总额</td><td>13,544.29</td><td>19,338.85</td><td>23,471.66</td><td>27,889.78</td></tr><tr><td>EBITDA</td><td>14,319.13</td><td>20,997.88</td><td>25,422.33</td><td>30,141.70</td></tr><tr><td>所得税</td><td>2,280.06</td><td>3,248.93</td><td>3,872.82</td><td>4,601.81</td></tr><tr><td>有效所得税率%</td><td>16.83%</td><td>16.80%</td><td>16.50%</td><td>16.50%</td></tr><tr><td>少数股东损益</td><td>227.95</td><td>353.98</td><td>391.98</td><td>465.76</td></tr><tr><td>归属母公司所有者净利润</td><td>11,036.28</td><td>15,735.94</td><td>19,206.86</td><td>22,822.21</td></tr><tr><td>资产负债表(百万元)</td><td>2024</td><td>2025E</td><td>2026E</td><td>2027E</td></tr><tr><td>货币资金</td><td>19,799.45</td><td>24,889.64</td><td>38,236.46</td><td>53,822.18</td></tr><tr><td>应收票据</td><td>845.63</td><td>987.31</td><td>1,208.98</td><td>1,494.81</td></tr><tr><td>应收账款</td><td>27,640.24</td><td>32,460.31</td><td>39,349.35</td><td>48,327.04</td></tr><tr><td>存货</td><td>29,027.56</td><td>34,884.16</td><td>43,374.26</td><td>54,717.10</td></tr><tr><td>其它流动资产</td><td>2,663.41</td><td>2,913.41</td><td>3,193.41</td><td>3,513.41</td></tr><tr><td>流动资产合计</td><td>95,148.60</td><td>113,132.49</td><td>144,019.12</td><td>182,293.01</td></tr><tr><td>长期股权投资</td><td>483.90</td><td>508.90</td><td>531.90</td><td>552.90</td></tr><tr><td>固定资产</td><td>9,001.69</td><td>10,298.35</td><td>10,994.89</td><td>11,308.35</td></tr><tr><td>在建工程</td><td>2,264.85</td><td>2,242.62</td><td>2,203.73</td><td>2,150.67</td></tr><tr><td>无形资产</td><td>1,122.40</td><td>1,425.28</td><td>1,700.16</td><td>1,946.04</td></tr><tr><td>非流动资产合计</td><td>19,925.17</td><td>21,945.79</td><td>22,951.39</td><td>23,511.75</td></tr><tr><td>资产总计</td><td>115,073.77</td><td>135,078.28</td><td>166,970.51</td><td>205,804.75</td></tr><tr><td>短期借款</td><td>4,213.71</td><td>5,013.71</td><td>5,613.71</td><td>6,013.71</td></tr><tr><td>应付票据</td><td>15,800.57</td><td>18,681.14</td><td>23,252.22</td><td>29,230.46</td></tr><tr><td>应付账款</td><td>20,956.59</td><td>23,351.42</td><td>29,065.27</td><td>36,538.08</td></tr><tr><td>预收账款</td><td>0.94</td><td>0.00</td><td>0.00</td><td>0.00</td></tr><tr><td>其它流动负债</td><td>2,033.95</td><td>2,333.95</td><td>2,533.95</td><td>2,683.95</td></tr><tr><td>流动负债合计</td><td>60,297.88</td><td>66,110.72</td><td>80,204.45</td><td>97,979.12</td></tr><tr><td>长期借款</td><td>4,863.43</td><td>5,363.43</td><td>5,863.43</td><td>6,363.43</td></tr><tr><td>其它长期负债</td><td>837.37</td><td>625.67</td><td>625.67</td><td>625.67</td></tr><tr><td>非流动负债合计</td><td>14,577.15</td><td>14,792.22</td><td>15,372.22</td><td>15,972.22</td></tr><tr><td>负债总计</td><td>74,875.02</td><td>80,902.94</td><td>95,576.67</td><td>113,951.35</td></tr><tr><td>实收资本</td><td>2,073.21</td><td>2,073.21</td><td>2,073.21</td><td>2,073.21</td></tr><tr><td>归属于母公司所有者权益</td><td>36,905.06</td><td>50,527.68</td><td>67,354.20</td><td>87,348.01</td></tr><tr><td>少数股东权益</td><td>3,293.68</td><td>3,647.66</td><td>4,039.64</td><td>4,505.40</td></tr><tr><td>负债和所有者权益合计</td><td>115,073.77</td><td>135,078.28</td><td>166,970.51</td><td>205,804.75</td></tr></table>

APPENDIX 1

Summary

The company maintains a leading global market share in photovoltaic (PV) inverters, with its energy storage business emerging as a new growth driver. As one of the early market entrants in the global PV inverter sector, Sungrow Power Supply has deeply cultivated power electronics and new energy power conversion technologies. It continues to expand its business layout across PV, energy storage, wind power, and hydrogen energy, establishing a complete industrial chain that integrates core equipment manufacturing, system integration, and energy services. This forms an integrated "source-grid-load-storage" business ecosystem with synergistic development across multiple segments. The company boasts a comprehensive product portfolio of PV inverters and energy storage systems, catering to full-scenario applications including residential, commercial & industrial, and utility-scale ground-mounted power plants. With its shipment volume and market share consistently ranking among the global top tier, Sungrow has become a key supplier to major domestic power central enterprises such as State Power Investment Corporation and China Huaneng Group, as well as leading overseas clients including Tesla and Google.

Inverters: Surging global PV installation demand underpins the medium-to-long-term growth of inverter demand. In terms of installation scale, global PV demand maintains a long-term upward trend. Global new PV installations are projected to surge from 53GW in 2015 to approximately 930GW by 2030, with estimated new installations reaching 610GW and 642GW in 2025 and 2026 respectively. As the industry enters the market-oriented phase, the proportion of overseas installations keeps rising, serving as the primary driver for global PV installation growth. In terms of shipment scale, the company's global inverter shipments hit 147GW in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.08%, ranking first globally for consecutive years and accounting for approximately 23%–25% of the global market share. Based on its order backlog and overseas market demand, the company's overseas inverter shipments are expected to reach 90–100GW in 2025. Its products are now available in more than 180 countries and regions worldwide, with long-standing leading PV inverter bankability globally, highlighting its significant brand and channe advantages.

Energy Storage: Utility-scale energy storage is experiencing rapid volume growth, and the energy storage business is delivering robust growth. In 2025, the company's business structure will undergo a transformative shift, with the energy storage business surpassing PV inverters to become its primary growth engine. Global new utility-scale energy storage installations are forecast to skyrocket from 28.4GWh in 2021 to 605GWh by 2027, registering a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 50%. Against this backdrop, leveraging its grid-forming energy storage technology, integrated system solutions, and track record of benchmark overseas projects, Sungrow is well-positioned to capitalize on the industry's upward momentum. As of the end of Q3 2025, the company has a substantial order backlog for its energy storage business, with a high proportion of overseas orders concentrated in Europe, the Middle East, and the Americas, providing a solid foundation for future earnings release.

Q3 Financial Report Release: According to the company’s 2025 Q3 financial report, it achieved operating revenue of RMB 66.402 billion in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 32.95%; its net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company surged by 56.34% year-on-year to RMB 11.881 billion. The comprehensive gross profit margin rose to 34.88%, indicating a significant enhancement in net profitability. The net cash flow from operating activities climbed to RMB 9.914 billion, reflecting substantial improvement in cash collection capability. Amidst optimized business structure and continuous cost control efforts, the company’s medium-to-long-term earnings growth boasts high visibility

Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendation: We forecast that the company’s net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company will reach RMB 15.74 billion, RMB 19.21 billion, and RMB 22.82 billion in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to earnings per share (EPS) of RMB 7.59, RMB 9.26, and RMB 11.01. Based on peer valuation levels, considering the promising outlook of the global PV and energy storage market, and recognizing the company’s position as a global leader in PV inverters with multi-track layout in the new energy industry, prominent economies of scale, dual growth in revenue and profit, and the explosive growth of its energy storage business forming a new growth pole, we assign a 22x PE ratio for 2026, corresponding to a target price of RMB 206. For the initial coverage, we give an Outperform rating.

Risk Factors: 1. Slower-than-expected progress in energy and energy storage-related policies; 2. Underperformance of the global energy storage industry; 3. Slower-than-expected overseas expansion progress of energy storage enterprises; 4. Higher-thanexpected raw material price hikes; 5. Lower-than-expected unit price of energy storage systems.

APPENDIX 2[Table\_ES

ESG Comments

Environmental:

High green power ratio, clear carbon neutrality

Social:

Tech empowers livelihood, fulfills social responsibility

Governance:

Sound governance system, leading international ratings

[Table\_disclaim附录 <sub>APPENDIX</sub>

重要信息披露

本研究报告由海通国际分销,海通国际是由海通国际研究有限公司(HTIRL),Haitong Securities India Private Limited (HSIPL),Haitong International Japan K.K. (HTIJKK)和海通国际证券有限公司(HTISCL)的证券研究团队所组成的全球品牌,海通国际证券集团(HTISG)各成员分别在其许可的司法管辖区内从事证券活动。

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

This research report is distributed by Haitong International, a global brand name for the equity research teams of Haitong International Research Limited (“HTIRL”), Haitong Securities India Private Limited (“HSIPL”), Haitong International Japan K.K. (“HTIJKK”), Haitong International Securities Company Limited (“HTISCL”), and any other members within the Haitong International Securities Group of Companies (“HTISG”), each authorized to engage in securities activities in its respective jurisdiction.

HTIRL 分析师认证 Analyst Certification:

我,徐柏乔,在此保证( )本研究报告中的意见准确反映了我们对本研究中提及的任何或所有目标公司或上市公司的个人观点,并且( )我的报酬中没有任何部分与本研究报告中表 达的具体建议或观点直接或间接相关;及就此报告中所讨论目标公司的证券,我们(包括我们的家属)在其中均不持有任何财务利益。我和我的家属(我已经告知他们)将不会在本研 究报告发布后的 30 个自然日内交易此研究报告所讨论目标公司的证券。I, Baiqiao Xu, certify that (i) the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any or all of the subject companies or issuers referred to in this research and (ii) no part of my compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report; and that I (including members of my household) have no financial interest in the security or securities of the subject companies discussed. I and my household, whom I have already notified of this, will not deal in or trade any securities in respect of the issuer that I review within 30 calendar days after the research report is published.

我,李丹怡,在此保证(i)本研究报告中的意见准确反映了我们对本研究中提及的任何或所有目标公司或上市公司的个人观点,并且(ii)我的报酬中没有任何部分与本研究报告中表 达的具体建议或观点直接或间接相关;及就此报告中所讨论目标公司的证券,我们(包括我们的家属)在其中均不持有任何财务利益。我和我的家属(我已经告知他们)将不会在本研 究报告发布后的 30 个自然日内交易此研究报告所讨论目标公司的证券。I, Catherine Li, certify that (i) the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any or all of the subject companies or issuers referred to in this research and (ii) no part of my compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report; and that I (including members of my household) have no financial interest in the security or securities of the subject companies discussed. I and my household, whom I have already notified of this, will not deal in or trade any securities in respect of the issuer that I review within 30 calendar days after the research report is published.

利益冲突披露 Conflict of Interest Disclosures

海通国际及其某些关联公司可从事投资银行业务和/或对本研究中的特定股票或公司进行做市或持有自营头寸。就本研究报告而言,以下是有关该等关系的披露事项(以下披露不能保证及时无遗漏,如需了解及时全面信息,请发邮件至 ERD-Disclosure@htisec.com)

HTI and some of its affiliates may engage in investment banking and / or serve as a market maker or hold proprietary trading positions of certain stocks or companies in this research report. As far as this research report is concerned, the following are the disclosure matters related to such relationship (As the following disclosure does not ensure timeliness and completeness, please send an email to ERD-Disclosure@htisec.com if timely and comprehensive information is needed).

国泰海通证券股份有限公司和/或其子公司(统称“国泰海通”)在过去 12 个月内参与了 600886.CH 的投资银行项目。投资银行项目包括:1、国泰海通担任上市前辅导机构、保荐人或主承销商的首次公开发行项目;2、国泰海通作为保荐人、主承销商或财务顾问的股权或债务再融资项目;3、国泰海通作为主经纪商的新三板上市、目标配售和并购项目。

Guotai Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. and/or its subsidiaries (collectively, the "Guotai Haitong") have a role in investment banking projects of 600886.CH within the past 12 months. The investment banking projects include 1. IPO projects in which Guotai Haitong acted as pre-listing tutor, sponsor, or lead-underwriter; 2. equity or debt refinancing projects of 600886.CH for which Guotai Haitong acted as sponsor, lead-underwriter or financial advisor; 3. listing by introduction in the new three board, target placement, M&A projects in which Guotai Haitong acted as lead-brokerage firm.

600886.CH 目前或过去 12 个月内是国泰海通的投资银行业务客户。

600886.CH is/was an investment bank clients of Guotai Haitong currently or within the past 12 months.

国泰海通在过去 12 个月中获得对 600886.CH 提供投资银行服务的报酬。

Guotai Haitong received in the past 12 months compensation for investment banking services provided to 600886.CH.

国泰海通预计将(或者有意向)在未来三个月内从 600886.CH 获得投资银行服务报酬。

Guotai Haitong expects to receive, or intends to seek, compensation for investment banking services in the next three months from 600886.CH.

评级定义(从 2020 年 7月 1日开始执行):

海通国际(以下简称 )采用相对评级系统来为投资者推荐我们覆盖的公司:优于大市、中性或弱于大市。投资者应仔细阅读 的评级定义。并且 发布分析师观点的完整信息,投资者应仔细阅读全文而非仅看评级。在任何情况下,分析师的评级和研究都不能作为投资建议。投资者的买卖股票的决策应基于各自情况(比如投资者的现有持仓)以及其他因素。

分析师股票评级

优于大市,未来 12-18 个月内预期相对基准指数涨幅在 10%以上,基准定义如下

中性,未来 12-18 个月内预期相对基准指数变化不大,基准定义如下。根据 FINRA/NYSE 的评级分布规则,我们会将中性评级划入持有这一类别。

弱于大市,未来 12-18 个月内预期相对基准指数跌幅在 10%以上,基准定义如下

各地股票基准指数:日本 – TOPIX, 韩国 – KOSPI, 台湾 – TAIEX, 印度 – Nifty100, 美国 – SP500; 其他所有中国概念股 – MSCI China.

Ratings Definitions (from 1 Jul 2020):

Haitong International uses a relative rating system using Outperform, Neutral, or Underperform for recommending the stocks we cover to investors. Investors should carefully read the definitions of all ratings used in Haitong International Research. In addition, since Haitong International Research contains more complete information concerning the analyst's views, investors should carefully read Haitong International Research, in its entirety, and not infer the contents from the rating alone. In any case, ratings (or research) should not be used or relied upon as investment advice. An investor's decision to buy or sell a stock should depend on individual circumstances (such as the investor's existin g holdings) and other considerations.

Analyst Stock Ratings

Outperform: The stock’s total return over the next 12-18 months is expected to exceed the return of its relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below.

Neutral: The stock’s total return over the next 12-18 months is expected to be in line with the return of its relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below. For pu rposes only of FINRA/NYSE ratings distribution rules, our Neutral rating falls into a hold rating category.

Underperform: The stock’s total return over the next 12-18 months is expected to be below the return of its relevant broad market benchmark, as indi cated below.

Benchmarks for each stock’s listed region are as follows: Japan – TOPIX, Korea – KOSPI, Taiwan – TAIEX, India – Nifty100, US – SP500; for all other China-concept stocks – MSCI China.

<table><tr><td rowspan="2"></td><td colspan="3">截至2025年12月31日海通国际股票研究评级分布</td><td colspan="3">截至2025年9月30日海通国际股票研究评级分布</td></tr><tr><td>优于大市</td><td>中性</td><td>弱于大市</td><td>优于大市</td><td>中性</td><td>弱于大市</td></tr><tr><td>海通国际股票研究覆盖率</td><td>93.9%</td><td>(持有) 6.0%</td><td>0.1%</td><td></td><td>(持有)</td><td></td></tr><tr><td>投资银行客户*</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td>92.3%</td><td>7.5% 3.9%</td><td>0.2%</td></tr><tr><td></td><td>3.0%</td><td>4.0%</td><td>0.0%</td><td>3.3%</td><td></td><td>0.0%</td></tr></table>

\*在每个评级类别里投资银行客户所占的百分比。 上述分布中的买入,中性和卖出分别对应我们当前优于大市,中性和落后大市评级。 只有根据 FINRA/NYSE 的评级分布规则,我们才将中性评级划入持有这一类别。请注意在上表中不包含非评级的股票。

此前的评级系统定义(直至 2020 年 6 月 30日):

买入,未来 12-18 个月内预期相对基准指数涨幅在 10%以上,基准定义如下

中性,未来 12-18 个月内预期相对基准指数变化不大,基准定义如下。根据 FINRA/NYSE 的评级分布规则,我们会将中性评级划入持有这一类别。

卖出,未来 12-18 个月内预期相对基准指数跌幅在 10%以上,基准定义如下

各地股票基准指数:日本 – TOPIX, 韩国 – KOSPI, 台湾 – TAIEX, 印度 – Nifty100; 其他所有中国概念股 – MSCI China.

Haitong International Equity Research Ratings Distribution, Haitong International Equity Research Ratings Distribution, <table><tr><td rowspan="2"></td><td colspan="3">as of December 31, 2025</td><td colspan="3">as of September 30, 2025</td></tr><tr><td>Outperform</td><td>Neutral</td><td>Underperform</td><td>Outperform</td><td>Neutral</td><td>Underperform</td></tr><tr><td rowspan="2">HTI Equity Research Coverage</td><td></td><td>(hold)</td><td></td><td></td><td>(hold)</td><td></td></tr><tr><td>93.9%</td><td>6.0%</td><td>0.1%</td><td>92.3%</td><td>7.5%</td><td>0.2%</td></tr><tr><td>IB clients*</td><td>3.0%</td><td>4.0%</td><td>0.0%</td><td>3.3%</td><td>3.9%</td><td>0.0%</td></tr></table>

\*Percentage of investment banking clients in each rating category. BUY, Neutral, and SELL in the above distribution correspond to our current ratings of Outperform, Neutral, and Underperform. For purposes only of FINRA/NYSE ratings distribution rules, our Neutral rating falls into a hold rating category. Please note that stocks with an NR designation are not included in the table above. Previous rating system definitions (until 30 Jun 2020): BUY: The stock’s total return over the next 12-18 months is expected to exceed the return of its relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below.

NEUTRAL: The stock’s total return over the next 12-18 months is expected to be in line with the return of its relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below. For purposes only of FINRA/NYSE ratings distribution rules, our Neutral rating falls into a hold rating category.

SELL: The stock’s total return over the next 12-18 months is expected to be below the return of its relevant broad market benchmark, as indicated below.

Benchmarks for each stock’s listed region are as follows: Japan – TOPIX, Korea – KOSPI, Taiwan – TAIEX, India – Nifty100; for all other China-concept stocks – MSCI China.

海通国际非评级研究:海通国际发布计量、筛选或短篇报告,并在报告中根据估值和其他指标对股票进行排名,或者基于可能的估值倍数提出建议价格。这种排名或建议价格并非为了进行股票评级、提出目标价格或进行基本面估值,而仅供参考使用。

Haitong International Non-Rated Research: Haitong International publishes quantitative, screening or short reports which may rank stocks according to valuation and other metrics or may suggest prices based on possible valuation multiples. Such rankings or suggested prices do not purport to be stock ratings or target prices or fundamental values and are for information only.

海通国际 A 股覆盖:海通国际可能会就沪港通及深港通的中国 A 股进行覆盖及评级。国泰海通证券(601211.CH),海通国际于上海的母公司,也会于中国发布中国 A 股的研究报告。 但是,海通国际使用与国泰海通证券不同的评级系统,所以海通国际与国泰海通证券的中国 A 股评级可能有所不同。

Haitong International Coverage of A-Shares: Haitong International may cover and rate A-Shares that are subject to the Hong Kong Stock Connect scheme with Shanghai and Shenzhen. GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES (601211 CH), the ultimate parent company of HTISG based in Shanghai, covers and publishes research on these same A-Shares for distribution in mainland China. However, the rating system employed by GTHS differs from that used by HTI and as a result there may be a difference in the HTI and GTHS ratings for the same A-share stocks.

海通国际优质 100 A 股(Q100)指数:海通国际 Q100 指数是一个包括 100 支由国泰海通证券覆盖的优质中国 A 股的计量产品。这些股票是通过基于质量的筛选过程,并结合对国泰海通证券A 股团队自下而上的研究。海通国际每季对 Q100 指数成分作出复审。

Haitong International Quality 100 A-share (Q100) Index: HTI’s Q100 Index is a quant product that consists of 100 of the highest-quality A-shares under coverage at GTHS in Shanghai. These stocks are carefully selected through a quality-based screening process in combination with a review of the GTHS A-share team’s bottom-up research. The Q100 constituent companies are reviewed quarterly.

盟浪义利(FIN-ESG)数据通免责声明条款:在使用盟浪义利(FIN-ESG)数据之前,请务必仔细阅读本条款并同意本声明:

第一条 义利(FIN-ESG)数据系由盟浪可持续数字科技有限责任公司(以下简称“本公司”)基于合法取得的公开信息评估而成,本公司对信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。对公司的评估结果仅供参考,并不构成对任何个人或机构投资建议,也不能作为任何个人或机构购买、出售或持有相关金融产品的依据。本公司不对任何个人或机构投资者因使用本数据表述的评估结果造成的任何直接或间接损失负责。

第二条 盟浪并不因收到此评估数据而将收件人视为客户,收件人使用此数据时应根据自身实际情况作出自我独立判断。本数据所载内容反映的是盟浪在最初发布本数据日期当日的判断,盟浪有权在不发出通知的情况下更新、修订与发出其他与本数据所载内容不一致或有不同结论的数据。除非另行说明,本数据(如财务业绩数据等)仅代表过往表现,过往的业绩表现不作为日后回报的预测。

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重要免责声明:

非印度证券的研究报告:本报告由海通国际证券集团有限公司(“HTISGL”)的全资附属公司海通国际研究有限公司(“HTIRL”)发行,该公司是根据香港证券及期货条例(第 571 章)持有第 4 类受规管活动(就证券提供意见)的持牌法团。该研究报告在 HTISGL 的全资附属公司 Haitong International (Japan) K.K.(“HTIJKK”)的协助下发行,HTIJKK 是由日本关东财务局监管为投资顾问。

印度证券的研究报告:本报告由从事证券交易、投资银行及证券分析及受 Securities and Exchange Board of India(“SEBI”)监管的 Haitong Securities India Private Limited(“HTSIPL”)所发行,包括制作及发布涵盖 BSE Limited(“BSE”)和 National Stock Exchange of India Limited(“NSE”)上市公司(统称为「印度交易所」)的研究报告。HTSIPL 于 2016 年 12 月 22 日被收购并成为海通国际证券集团有限公司(“HTISG”)的一部分。

所有研究报告均以海通国际为名作为全球品牌,经许可由海通国际证券股份有限公司及/或海通国际证券集团的其他成员在其司法管辖区发布。

本文件所载信息和观点已被编译或源自可靠来源,但 HTIRL、HTISCL 或任何其他属于海通国际证券集团有限公司(“HTISG”)的成员对其准确性、完整性和正确性不做任何明示或暗示的声明或保证。本文件中所有观点均截至本报告日期,如有更改,恕不另行通知。本文件仅供参考使用。文件中提及的任何公司或其股票的说明并非意图展示完整的内容,本文件并非不应被解释为对证券买卖的明示或暗示地出价或征价。在某些司法管辖区,本文件中提及的证券可能无法进行买卖。如果投资产品以投资者本国货币以外的币种进行计价,则汇率变化可能会对投资产生不利影响。过去的表现并不一定代表将来的结果。某些特定交易,包括设计金融衍生工具的,有产生重大风险的可能性,因此并不适合所有的投资者。您还应认识到本文件中的建议并非为您量身定制。分析师并未考虑到您自身的财务情况,如您的财务状况和风险偏好。因此您必须自行分析并在适用的情况下咨询自己的法律、税收、会计、金融和其他方面的专业顾问,以期在投资之前评估该项建议是否适合于您。若由于使用本文件所载的材料而产生任何直接或间接的损失, 及其董事、雇员或代理人对此均不承担任何责任。

除对本文内容承担责任的分析师除外,HTISG 及我们的关联公司、高级管理人员、董事和雇员,均可不时作为主事人就本文件所述的任何证券或衍生品持有长仓或短仓以及进行买卖。的销售员、交易员和其他专业人士均可向 的相关客户和公司提供与本文件所述意见相反的口头或书面市场评论意见或交易策略。 可做出与本文件所述建议或意见不一致的投资决策。但 HTIRL 没有义务来确保本文件的收件人了解到该等交易决定、思路或建议。

请访问海通国际网站www.equities.htisec.com,查阅更多有关海通国际为预防和避免利益冲突设立的组织和行政安排的内容信息。

非美国分析师披露信息:本项研究首页上列明的海通国际分析师并未在 FINRA 进行注册或者取得相应的资格,并且不受美国FINRA有关与本项研究目标公司进行沟通、公开露面和自营证券交易的第 2241 条规则之限制。

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER

For research reports on non-Indian securities: The research report is issued by Haitong International Research Limited (“HTIRL”), a wholly owned subsidiary of Haitong International Securities Group Limited (“HTISGL”) and a licensed corporation to carry on Type 4 regulated activity (advising on securities) for the purpose of the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Cap. 571) of Hong Kong, with the assistance of Haitong International (Japan) K.K. (“HTIJKK”), a wholly owned subsidiary of HTISGL and which is regulated as an Investment Adviser by the Kanto Finance Bureau of Japan.

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除非下文另有规定,否则任何希望讨论本报告或者就本项研究中讨论的任何证券进行任何交易的收件人均应联系其所在国家或地区的海通国际销售人员。

香港投资者的通知事项:海通国际证券股份有限公司(“HTISCL”)负责分发该研究报告,HTISCL 是在香港有权实施第 1 类受规管活动(从事证券交易)的持牌公司。该研究报告并不构成《证券及期货条例》(香港法例第 571 章)(以下简称“SFO”)所界定的要约邀请,证券要约或公众要约。本研究报告仅提供给 SFO 所界定的“专业投资者”。本研究报告未经过证券及期货事务监察委员会的审查。您不应仅根据本研究报告中所载的信息做出投资决定。本研究报告的收件人就研究报告中产生或与之相关的任何事宜请联系 HTISCL 销售人员。

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新加坡投资者的通知事项:本研究报告由 Haitong International Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd(“HTISSPL”)于新加坡提供。HTISSPL 是符合《财务顾问法》2001(“FAA”)定义的豁免财务顾问,可(a)提供关于证券,集体投资计划的部分,交易所衍生品合约和场外衍生品合约的建议(b)发行或公布有关证券、交易所衍生品合约和场外衍生品合约的研究分析或研究报告。本研究报告仅提供给符合《证券及期货法》2001 第 4A 条项下规定的机构投资者。对于因本研究报告而产生的或与之相关的任何问题,本研究报告的收件人应通过以下信息与HTISSPL 联系:

Haitong International Securities (Singapore) Pte. Ltd

10 Collyer Quay, #19-01 - #19-05 Ocean Financial Centre, Singapore 049315

电话: (65) 6713 0473

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研究机构名称: Haitong Securities India Private Limited

SEBI 研究分析师注册号: INH000002590

地址: 1203A, Floor 12A, Tower 2A, One World Center

841 Senapati Bapat Marg, Elphinstone Road, Mumbai 400 013, India

CIN U74140MH2011FTC224070

电话: +91 22 43156800 传真:+91 22 24216327

合规和申诉办公室联系人: Prasanna Chandwaskar ;电话: +91 22 43156803; 电子邮箱: prasanna.chandwaskar@htisec.com

“请注意,SEBI 授予的注册和NISM 的认证并不保证中介的表现或为投资者提供任何回报保证”。

本项研究仅供收件人使用,未经海通国际的书面同意不得予以复制和再次分发。

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Telephone: (65) 6713 0473

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